Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1203.928732 1366.810917 1547.617024 1763.905085 2016.515642 2303.310774 2655.108452
2025-09-14 922.976143 1129.674609 1380.424876 1709.830642 2135.328390 2672.105133 3409.582559
2025-09-21 765.834292 984.277036 1265.202109 1658.253473 2202.460242 2942.097311 4045.683670
2025-09-28 653.298591 871.731028 1165.624572 1597.731155 2230.217545 3143.735370 4603.935170
2025-10-05 605.098088 835.690681 1159.175464 1657.431156 2426.373466 3604.302865 5619.625583
2025-10-12 557.130149 792.327977 1134.294662 1682.716181 2569.423218 4001.114085 6607.098143
2025-10-19 513.563857 749.397981 1103.292439 1691.664822 2683.843313 4364.916875 7606.690732
2025-10-26 476.279045 711.323326 1074.291546 1698.021351 2791.668590 4730.462651 8681.099049
2025-11-02 452.878522 691.936705 1071.668850 1745.986014 2975.583123 5258.082230 10181.778821
2025-11-09 430.075029 670.917044 1063.537849 1782.310597 3142.021787 5778.796115 11788.099133
2025-11-16 407.795599 648.428705 1050.202045 1806.859073 3288.462566 6283.359270 13480.437626
2025-11-23 387.033994 626.456326 1035.243857 1825.931704 3425.788919 6791.388275 15308.849798
2025-11-30 370.105612 610.089279 1029.383865 1863.191118 3609.309441 7441.341352 17694.812798
2025-12-07 341.221545 570.408320 978.006432 1806.171077 3587.744646 7630.523615 18941.949126
2025-12-14 315.659992 534.594295 930.456334 1751.170219 3562.166220 7804.852258 20198.706963
2025-12-21 291.411980 499.334452 880.931966 1686.664685 3506.287596 7895.997418 21244.258010
2025-12-28 284.855032 496.164055 892.190196 1750.293711 3753.285995 8793.646359 25044.900127
2026-01-04 274.497751 484.981156 886.736526 1777.250534 3917.625891 9511.122017 28532.778181
2026-01-11 263.058697 470.833680 874.093833 1786.791925 4040.741571 10142.912405 31970.624591
2026-01-18 252.211710 457.024114 860.920897 1793.569848 4157.975634 10784.004240 35703.198427
2026-01-25 246.365146 452.624928 866.705225 1844.723299 4399.101684 11846.720746 41539.188258
2026-02-01 239.678329 446.024191 867.243037 1883.473315 4613.583654 12881.093490 47767.735824
2026-02-08 232.293723 437.459465 862.822703 1909.665960 4797.874074 13865.911952 54292.648183